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A guide to understanding AI as normal technology AI Limitations

A guide to understanding AI as normal technology

And a big change for this newsletter...

4 months ago AI Snake Oil
41349 words 137 min
Could AI slow science? AI Limitations

Could AI slow science?

Confronting the production-progress paradox...

5 months, 4 weeks ago AI Snake Oil
58533 words 195 min
AGI is not a milestone AI Limitations

AGI is not a milestone

There is no capability threshold that will lead to sudden impacts...

8 months, 1 week ago AI Snake Oil
37481 words 124 min
AI as Normal Technology AI Limitations

AI as Normal Technology

A new paper that we will expand into our next book...

8 months, 4 weeks ago AI Snake Oil
129386 words 431 min
Is AI progress slowing down? AI Limitations

Is AI progress slowing down?

Making sense of recent technology trends and claims...

1 year ago AI Snake Oil
29240 words 97 min
We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem. AI Limitations

We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformatio…

Technology Isn’t the Problem—or the Solution....

1 year, 1 month ago AI Snake Oil
33846 words 112 min
Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients? AI Limitations

Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systemati…

Seemingly minor technical decisions can have life-or-death effects...

1 year, 2 months ago AI Snake Oil
23243 words 77 min
FAQ about the book and our writing process AI Limitations

FAQ about the book and our writing process

What's in the book and how we wrote it...

1 year, 3 months ago AI Snake Oil
10182 words 33 min
Can AI automate computational reproducibility? AI Limitations

Can AI automate computational reproducibility?

A new benchmark to measure the impact of AI on improving science...

1 year, 3 months ago AI Snake Oil
11364 words 37 min
Start reading the AI Snake Oil book online AI Limitations

Start reading the AI Snake Oil book online

The book was published September 2024...

1 year, 4 months ago AI Snake Oil
14503 words 48 min
AI companies are pivoting from creating gods to building products. Good. AI Limitations

AI companies are pivoting from creating gods to building pr…

Turning models into products runs into five challenges...

1 year, 4 months ago AI Snake Oil
17214 words 57 min
AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy AI Limitations

AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inf…

How speculation gets laundered through pseudo-quantification...

1 year, 5 months ago AI Snake Oil
46237 words 154 min
New paper: AI agents that matter AI Limitations

New paper: AI agents that matter

Rethinking AI agent benchmarking and evaluation...

1 year, 6 months ago AI Snake Oil
11484 words 38 min
AI scaling myths AI Limitations

AI scaling myths

Scaling will run out. The question is when....

1 year, 6 months ago AI Snake Oil
21023 words 70 min
Scientists should use AI as a tool, not an oracle AI Limitations

Scientists should use AI as a tool, not an oracle

How AI hype leads to flawed research that fuels more hype...

1 year, 7 months ago AI Snake Oil
15623 words 52 min
AI leaderboards are no longer useful. It's time to switch to Pareto curves. AI Limitations

AI leaderboards are no longer useful. It's time to switch t…

What spending $2,000 can tell us about evaluating AI agents...

1 year, 8 months ago AI Snake Oil
37546 words 125 min
AI Snake Oil is now available to preorder AI Limitations

AI Snake Oil is now available to preorder

What artificial intelligence can do, what it can't, and how to tell the difference...

1 year, 9 months ago AI Snake Oil
7015 words 23 min
Tech policy is only frustrating 90% of the time AI Limitations

Tech policy is only frustrating 90% of the time

That’s what makes it worthwhile...

1 year, 9 months ago AI Snake Oil
10706 words 35 min
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